Farense 1-2 Leixoes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 14 Feb 2026

Farense
1 - 2 HT 1 - 1
Leixoes
📅14/02/2026 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.02
Draw
30%
3.12
Away
24%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
56%
1.69
Over
44%
2.06
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.94
No
50%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2.55
2-3
46%
1.74
4-5
19%
4.26
6+
4%
21.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
2%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
19%
2/1
2%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Farense The Market 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Leixoes The Market 29%
Weak Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.43 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.83
1.27 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.59
Weak Attack Strength Weak
Bad Defense Strength Average
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
282 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
24 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Farense
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Leixoes
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.27 xG 0.90
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
352 Passes 256
81% Pass Accuracy 71%
26 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 3
13.09.2025 Leixoes Leixoes 0-2 HT 0-0 Farense Farense POR2
05.03.2023 Farense Farense 1-0 HT 0-0 Leixoes Leixoes POR2
09.11.2022 Leixoes Leixoes 3-1 HT 2-0 Farense Farense POK
11.09.2022 Leixoes Leixoes 0-1 HT 0-0 Farense Farense POR2
17.01.2022 Farense Farense 0-1 HT 0-1 Leixoes Leixoes POR2
10.08.2021 Leixoes Leixoes 3-1 HT 2-1 Farense Farense POR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Farense
1 - 2
AWAY Leixoes
1.49 xG 2.44
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
196 Passes 291
69% Pass Accuracy 82%
20 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 0
REVIEW Farense vs Leixoes
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Leixoes came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Farense 2-1 on the road. Level at 1-1 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.

A gentle 46% lean on Farense didn't survive contact with the match; margins like that flip all the time. The one blemish: under 2.5 goals (56%) never looked like landing.

The match data tells the story: Farense had 42% of the ball to Leixoes's 58%, shots finished 9-18, expected goals 1.49 to 2.44.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Farense and 1.17 for Leixoes.

Farense vs Leixoes Result & Final Score

Farense 1 - 2 Leixoes in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 14/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Farense vs Leixoes Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Farense win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Farense 46%, draw 30%, Leixoes 24%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Farense) ✗ Under 2.5
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