Elazığspor 1-2 Karacabey Belediye Spor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Beyaz Grup, 14 Feb 2026

📅14/02/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.57
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
20%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
No
49%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
59%
-4.0pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.0pp
20%
Away Win
18%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Elazığspor EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Karacabey Belediye Spor EU Bookmakers 21%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-49% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
414 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Elazığspor
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Karacabey Belediye Spor
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 19
6 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 3
05.10.2025 Karacabey Belediye Spor Karacabey Belediye Spor 0-3 HT 0-1 Elazığspor Elazığspor T2L-B
09.12.2020 Elazığspor Elazığspor 2-1 HT 1-0 Karacabey Belediye Spor Karacabey Belediye Spor S2-K
23.09.2015 Elazığspor Elazığspor 1-0 HT 0-0 Karacabey Belediye Spor Karacabey Belediye Spor TÜK
POST-MATCH Elazığspor vs Karacabey Belediye Spor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Karacabey Belediye Spor nicked a narrow win over Elazığspor 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Elazığspor at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Elazığspor had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Elazığspor and 0.33 for Karacabey Belediye Spor.

What was the final score of Elazığspor vs Karacabey Belediye Spor?

Elazığspor 1-2 Karacabey Belediye Spor in the Turkey - 2nd Division Beyaz Grup on 14/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Elazığspor vs Karacabey Belediye Spor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Elazığspor win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Elazığspor 55%, draw 25%, Karacabey Belediye Spor 20%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Elazığspor) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Elazığspor) ✓ BTTS Yes
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