Ankara Demirspor 1-0 1461 Trabzon FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup, 14 Feb 2026

📅14/02/2026 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.27
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
29%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
Over 2.5
51%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
No
48%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
40%
+1.9pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.6pp
29%
Away Win
33%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ankara Demirspor EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY 1461 Trabzon FK EU Bookmakers 37%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
1.89/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.69/2.41
+36% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / -49%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
301 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 4.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ankara Demirspor
0W-1D-3L
AWAY 1461 Trabzon FK
0.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
03.04.2024 1461 Trabzon FK 1461 Trabzon FK 1-0 HT 1-0 Ankara Demirspor Ankara Demirspor S2-B
19.11.2023 Ankara Demirspor Ankara Demirspor 1-3 HT 1-0 1461 Trabzon FK 1461 Trabzon FK S2-B
09.10.2022 Ankara Demirspor Ankara Demirspor 0-0 HT 0-0 1461 Trabzon FK 1461 Trabzon FK S2-K
06.01.2021 1461 Trabzon FK 1461 Trabzon FK 2-0 HT 0-0 Ankara Demirspor Ankara Demirspor S2-B
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ankara Demirspor
1-0
AWAY 1461 Trabzon FK
55% Ball Possession 45%
7 Total Shots 4
1 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ankara Demirspor vs 1461 Trabzon FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ankara Demirspor squeezed past 1461 Trabzon FK 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Ankara Demirspor as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Ankara Demirspor had 55% of the ball to 1461 Trabzon FK's 45%, shots finished 7-4.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, 1461 Trabzon FK led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.25 goals for Ankara Demirspor and 1.50 for 1461 Trabzon FK.

What was the final score of Ankara Demirspor vs 1461 Trabzon FK?

Ankara Demirspor 1-0 1461 Trabzon FK in the Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup on 14/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ankara Demirspor vs 1461 Trabzon FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ankara Demirspor win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Ankara Demirspor 42%, draw 29%, 1461 Trabzon FK 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ankara Demirspor) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ankara Demirspor) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
T2L-K More Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup
14 Feb 2026
13:00 Kahramanmaraş İstiklalspor vs Isparta 32 Spor Analysis →
15:00 Aliağa Futbol A.Ş. vs Muş Spor Kulübü Analysis →
15:00 İnegölspor vs Ankaraspor Analysis →