Salford City 2-2 Stockport County — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 14 Mar 2024

📅14/03/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.5
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
52%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.0
Over 2.5
53%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.68
No
52%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.74
2-3 Goals
39%
1.82
4-5 Goals
26%
3.25
6+ Goals
10%
11.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
5.98
1/2
5%
23.15
1/X
9%
13.85
X/1
10%
8.25
X/2
12%
4.37
X/X
9%
5.02
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
34%
2.44
2/X
6%
13.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
25%
+0.5pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.9pp
51%
Away Win
50%
+1.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
46%
+0.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
54%
-0.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.9pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Salford City EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Stockport County EU Bookmakers 55%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +14%
1.14/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/0.94
+2% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / -5%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
264 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 74%
17.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.6
17.9 Crosses 19.7
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Salford City
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Stockport County
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.79 xG 1.66
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
290 Passes 277
71% Pass Accuracy 70%
18 Box Touches 26
14 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.11.2023 Stockport County Stockport County 0-0 HT 0-0 Salford City Salford City İN2
10.10.2023 Salford City Salford City 1-3 HT 1-1 Stockport County Stockport County İNTK
20.05.2023 Stockport County Stockport County 2-1 HT 0-0 Salford City Salford City İN2
13.05.2023 Salford City Salford City 1-0 HT 1-0 Stockport County Stockport County İN2
31.03.2023 Stockport County Stockport County 1-1 HT 1-0 Salford City Salford City İN2
22.10.2022 Salford City Salford City 0-2 HT 0-1 Stockport County Stockport County İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Salford City
2-2
AWAY Stockport County
0.26 xG 1.33
42% Ball Possession 58%
6 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 7
144 Passes 220
52% Pass Accuracy 60%
12 Box Touches 18
8 Crosses 22
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Salford City vs Stockport County
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Salford City and Stockport County couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Stockport County at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Salford City had 42% of the ball to Stockport County's 58%, shots finished 6-11, expected goals 0.26 to 1.33.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stockport County led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Salford City and 1.33 for Stockport County.

What was the final score of Salford City vs Stockport County?

Salford City 2-2 Stockport County in the England - 2nd Division on 14/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Salford City vs Stockport County?

Before kick-off our model rated an Stockport County win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Salford City 25%, draw 23%, Stockport County 51%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Stockport County), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stockport County) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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