Thor Akureyri 0-1 Breidablik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - League Cup, 14 Mar 2024

Thor Akureyri
0-1 HT 0-0
Breidablik
📅14/03/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 ✗ 2nd Score 0-4 ✗
Iceland - League Cup – 2024

Thor Akureyri vs Breidablik Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
5.4
Draw
21%
4.81
Away
57%
1.4
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
3.17
Over 2.5
60%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.49
No
53%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
37%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
15%
+6.6pp
21%
Draw
18%
+3.6pp
57%
Away Win
67%
-10.3pp
40%
Under 2.5
28%
+11.6pp
60%
Over 2.5
72%
-11.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
63%
-16.4pp
53%
BTTS No
37%
+16.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Thor Akureyri v Breidablik — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Thor Akureyri EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Breidablik EU Bookmakers 71%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -22%
1.00/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.31/0.93
-12% / +132% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +20%
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
278 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 455 · 85%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 2.3

Thor Akureyri vs Breidablik Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Thor Akureyri
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Breidablik
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 9
The Meetings
06.03.2022 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri 1-2 HT 0-1 Breidablik Breidablik İZLK
28.09.2014 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri 2-0 HT 1-0 Breidablik Breidablik İZL
02.07.2014 Breidablik Breidablik 3-2 HT 2-1 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri İZL
19.06.2014 Breidablik Breidablik 3-1 HT 0-0 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri İZK
21.04.2014 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri 1-2 HT 0-2 Breidablik Breidablik İZLK
21.07.2013 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri 1-2 HT 0-2 Breidablik Breidablik İZL
POST-MATCH Thor Akureyri vs Breidablik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Breidablik squeezed past Thor Akureyri 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Breidablik as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Breidablik led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Thor Akureyri and 2.00 for Breidablik.

What was the final score of Thor Akureyri vs Breidablik?

Thor Akureyri 0-1 Breidablik in the Iceland - League Cup on 14/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Thor Akureyri vs Breidablik?

Before kick-off our model rated an Breidablik win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Thor Akureyri 22%, draw 21%, Breidablik 57%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Breidablik), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Breidablik) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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