Bahardar 3-1 Ethiopia Bunna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 14 Mar 2024

📅14/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.18
Draw
36%
2.94
Away
29%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
1.45
Over 2.5
31%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.16
No
64%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
27%
2/1
4%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
42%
-7.0pp
36%
Draw
30%
+5.0pp
29%
Away Win
27%
+2.0pp
69%
Under 2.5
65%
+4.1pp
31%
Over 2.5
35%
-4.1pp
36%
BTTS Yes
42%
-6.4pp
64%
BTTS No
58%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bahardar EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Ethiopia Bunna EU Bookmakers 31%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -26%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
357 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bahardar
3-1
AWAY Ethiopia Bunna
42% Ball Possession 58%
15 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Bahardar vs Ethiopia Bunna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bahardar got the better of Ethiopia Bunna 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (35% / 36% / 29%) promised a tight game; Bahardar found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (69%), no to both teams scoring (64%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Bahardar had 42% of the ball to Ethiopia Bunna's 58%, shots finished 15-12.

What was the final score of Bahardar vs Ethiopia Bunna?

Bahardar 3-1 Ethiopia Bunna in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 14/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bahardar vs Ethiopia Bunna?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Bahardar 35%, draw 36%, Ethiopia Bunna 29%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ETH More Etiyopya - Premier League
14 Mar 2024
19:00 Hambericho Durame vs Adama City Analysis →