Birkirkara 0-2 Naxxar Lions — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - Premier League, 14 Mar 2024

📅14/03/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.75
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
25%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.75
Over 2.5
44%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.61
No
56%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
23%
X/2
5%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
54%
-1.5pp
22%
Draw
26%
-3.0pp
25%
Away Win
21%
+4.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
53%
+3.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
47%
-3.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
58%
-13.6pp
56%
BTTS No
42%
+13.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Birkirkara EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Naxxar Lions EU Bookmakers 23%
-22% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +71% / +71%
1.26/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/0.49
-7% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +93% / +150%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
311 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Birkirkara
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Naxxar Lions
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 1
26.11.2023 Naxxar Lions Naxxar Lions 2-0 HT 0-0 Birkirkara Birkirkara MLTP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Birkirkara
0-2
AWAY Naxxar Lions
58% Ball Possession 42%
5 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Birkirkara vs Naxxar Lions
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Naxxar Lions got the better of Birkirkara 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Birkirkara at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Birkirkara had 58% of the ball to Naxxar Lions's 42%, shots finished 5-10.

What was the final score of Birkirkara vs Naxxar Lions?

Birkirkara 0-2 Naxxar Lions in the Malta - Premier League on 14/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Birkirkara vs Naxxar Lions?

Before kick-off our model rated a Birkirkara win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Birkirkara 52%, draw 22%, Naxxar Lions 25%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Birkirkara) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Birkirkara) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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