Export Sebaco 2-1 UNAN Managua — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 14 Mar 2024

📅14/03/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.89
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
31%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.29
Over 2.5
61%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.5
No
37%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
49%
-3.9pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.3pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+5.3pp
39%
Under 2.5
40%
-1.3pp
61%
Over 2.5
60%
+1.3pp
63%
BTTS Yes
62%
+0.3pp
37%
BTTS No
38%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Export Sebaco EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY UNAN Managua EU Bookmakers 29%
+9% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +0%
2.14/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/1.99
+39% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +39% / -32%
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
380 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Export Sebaco
3W-1D-2L
AWAY UNAN Managua
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.11.2023 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco 5-1 HT 3-0 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua NİK
19.09.2023 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua 5-0 HT 4-0 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco NİK
06.04.2023 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco 1-2 HT 0-0 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua NİK
13.02.2023 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua 0-1 HT 0-0 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco NİK
27.10.2022 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua 0-0 HT 0-0 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco NİK
08.08.2022 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco 5-0 HT 3-0 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua NİK
POST-MATCH Export Sebaco vs UNAN Managua
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Export Sebaco edged past UNAN Managua 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Export Sebaco as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (63%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Export Sebaco had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Export Sebaco and 1.33 for UNAN Managua.

What was the final score of Export Sebaco vs UNAN Managua?

Export Sebaco 2-1 UNAN Managua in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 14/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Export Sebaco vs UNAN Managua?

Before kick-off our model rated a Export Sebaco win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Export Sebaco 45%, draw 24%, UNAN Managua 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Export Sebaco), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Export Sebaco) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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