Koper 1-3 Celje — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 14 Mar 2024

Koper
1-3 HT 0-1
Celje
📅14/03/2024 · 🕒18:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Slovenia - 1st Division – 2023/2024

Koper vs Celje Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.32
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
40%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.86
Over 2.5
51%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.75
No
47%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.32
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
3.56
6+ Goals
10%
14.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
23%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
27%
+7.3pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.6pp
39%
Away Win
47%
-7.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
50%
-1.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
50%
+1.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.2pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Koper v Celje — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Koper EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Celje EU Bookmakers 51%
-3% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +4%
1.17/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.97/0.64
+16% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +61%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
255 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.2

Koper vs Celje Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Koper
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Celje
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
17.09.2023 Koper Koper 1-1 HT 0-1 Celje Celje SLVN
13.05.2023 Celje Celje 2-0 HT 1-0 Koper Koper SLVN
11.03.2023 Koper Koper 0-1 HT 0-0 Celje Celje SLVN
13.11.2022 Celje Celje 1-1 HT 0-1 Koper Koper SLVN
02.09.2022 Koper Koper 0-2 HT 0-2 Celje Celje SLVN
21.04.2022 Koper Koper 1-0 HT 0-0 Celje Celje SLVNK

Koper 1-3 Celje — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Koper
1-3
AWAY Celje
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Koper vs Celje
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Celje got the better of Koper 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (34% / 26% / 39%) promised a tight game; Celje found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Koper had 46% of the ball to Celje's 54%, shots finished 9-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Celje led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Koper and 1.17 for Celje.

What was the final score of Koper vs Celje?

Koper 1-3 Celje in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 14/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Koper vs Celje?

Before kick-off our model rated an Celje win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Koper 34%, draw 26%, Celje 39%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Celje), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Celje) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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