Defensor Sporting vs Danubio Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Defensor Sporting v Danubio — Team-Based Signals
Defensor Sporting vs Danubio Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-1
Danubio
URU
2-1
HT 1-0
Danubio
URU
1-1
HT 1-0
Defensor Sporting
URU
0-0
HT 0-0
Danubio
CON CSA
1-1
HT 1-1
Danubio
URU
2-1
HT 1-0
Danubio
URU
Defensor Sporting 1-0 Danubio — Actual Match Statistics
Defensor Sporting squeezed past Danubio 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Defensor Sporting as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.
On the day, Defensor Sporting had 62% of the ball to Danubio's 38%, shots finished 16-14.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Defensor Sporting had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Defensor Sporting and 1.00 for Danubio.
What was the final score of Defensor Sporting vs Danubio?
Defensor Sporting 1-0 Danubio in the Uruguay Cup on 14/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Defensor Sporting vs Danubio?
Before kick-off our model rated a Defensor Sporting win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Defensor Sporting 44%, draw 31%, Danubio 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Defensor Sporting), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.