El Paso Locomotive vs Monterey Bay Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
El Paso Locomotive v Monterey Bay — Team-Based Signals
El Paso Locomotive vs Monterey Bay Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
1-2
HT 0-1
Monterey Bay
USLP
0-0
HT 0-0
El Paso Locomotive
USLP
1-0
HT 0-0
El Paso Locomotive
USLP
5-0
HT 2-0
Monterey Bay
USLP
El Paso Locomotive 1-1 Monterey Bay — Actual Match Statistics
El Paso Locomotive and Monterey Bay shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was El Paso Locomotive at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, El Paso Locomotive had 45% of the ball to Monterey Bay's 55%, shots finished 7-19, expected goals 0.65 to 1.19.
Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Monterey Bay led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for El Paso Locomotive and 0.75 for Monterey Bay.
What was the final score of El Paso Locomotive vs Monterey Bay?
El Paso Locomotive 1-1 Monterey Bay in the USL Championship on 14/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for El Paso Locomotive vs Monterey Bay?
Before kick-off our model rated a El Paso Locomotive win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split El Paso Locomotive 49%, draw 21%, Monterey Bay 31%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.