Everton (K) 1-3 Arsenal (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Women's Premier League, 14 Mar 2025

Everton (K)
1-3 HT 1-1
Arsenal (K)
📅14/03/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✓
England - Women's Premier League – 2024/2025

Everton (K) vs Arsenal (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
7.18
Draw
16%
4.95
Away
59%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.43
Over 2.5
63%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.81
No
47%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
19%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
11%
X/X
3%
2/1
6%
2/2
30%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
11%
+13.1pp
16%
Draw
17%
-1.4pp
60%
Away Win
71%
-11.7pp
37%
Under 2.5
38%
-0.0pp
63%
Over 2.5
62%
+0.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.3pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Everton (K) v Arsenal (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Everton (K) EU Bookmakers 14%
Head to Head
AWAY Arsenal (K) EU Bookmakers 75%
+35% / +35% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
0.74/2.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.17/0.40
+20% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +50%
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
207 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 462 · 85%
9.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 44.2
11.3 Crosses 24.2
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.4

Everton (K) vs Arsenal (K) Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Everton (K)
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Arsenal (K)
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.40 xG 2.06
36% Ball Possession 64%
8 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
231 Passes 484
69% Pass Accuracy 83%
7 Box Touches 45
11 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
06.10.2024 Arsenal (K) Arsenal (K) 0-0 HT 0-0 Everton (K) Everton (K) İNKPL
15.12.2019 Everton (K) Everton (K) 1-3 HT 0-1 Arsenal (K) Arsenal (K) İNKPL
21.04.2019 Arsenal (K) Arsenal (K) 2-1 HT 2-0 Everton (K) Everton (K) İNKPL
18.11.2018 Everton (K) Everton (K) 0-4 HT 0-1 Arsenal (K) Arsenal (K) İNKPL
23.02.2018 Arsenal (K) Arsenal (K) 1-0 HT 1-0 Everton (K) Everton (K) İNKPL
29.10.2017 Everton (K) Everton (K) 0-2 HT 0-1 Arsenal (K) Arsenal (K) İNKPL

Everton (K) 1-3 Arsenal (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Everton (K)
1-3
AWAY Arsenal (K)
0.37 xG 2.00
32% Ball Possession 68%
3 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 9
1 Corners 13
249 Passes 626
76% Pass Accuracy 89%
16 Box Touches 42
7 Crosses 33
POST-MATCH Everton (K) vs Arsenal (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arsenal (K) got the better of Everton (K) 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Arsenal (K) as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (63%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Everton (K) had 32% of the ball to Arsenal (K)'s 68%, shots finished 3-19, expected goals 0.37 to 2.00.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Arsenal (K) led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Everton (K) and 2.00 for Arsenal (K).

What was the final score of Everton (K) vs Arsenal (K)?

Everton (K) 1-3 Arsenal (K) in the England - Women's Premier League on 14/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Everton (K) vs Arsenal (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Arsenal (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Everton (K) 24%, draw 16%, Arsenal (K) 60%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arsenal (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Arsenal (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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