Saarbrücken 0-2 Stuttgart II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 14 Mar 2025

📅14/03/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.72
Draw
29%
3.64
Away
24%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.86
Over 2.5
55%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.3
2-3 Goals
39%
1.81
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
26%
3.63
6+ Goals
10%
14.6
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.63 — our 26% vs market 22.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.19
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
14.5
X/1
13%
4.15
X/2
10%
9.46
X/X
11%
5.01
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
23.4
2/2
8%
7.7
2/X
9%
16.1
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.4 — our 8% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
55%
-7.2pp
29%
Draw
25%
+4.0pp
24%
Away Win
20%
+3.3pp
45%
Under 2.5
50%
-4.7pp
55%
Over 2.5
50%
+4.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.8pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Saarbrücken EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Stuttgart II EU Bookmakers 23%
-1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -8%
1.64/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.90
-9% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -10%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
406 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 73%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.0 Crosses 14.4
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Saarbrücken
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Stuttgart II
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
50% Ball Possession 50%
18 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
19.10.2024 Stuttgart II Stuttgart II 2-3 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken AL3
01.02.2014 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken 0-1 HT 0-0 Stuttgart II Stuttgart II AL3
16.08.2013 Stuttgart II Stuttgart II 2-0 HT 1-0 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken AL3
01.12.2012 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken 0-0 HT 0-0 Stuttgart II Stuttgart II AL3
21.07.2012 Stuttgart II Stuttgart II 0-1 HT 0-0 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken AL3
11.02.2012 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken 0-0 HT 0-0 Stuttgart II Stuttgart II AL3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Saarbrücken
0-2
AWAY Stuttgart II
65% Ball Possession 35%
19 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 9
5 Corners 4
525 Passes 261
83% Pass Accuracy 76%
25 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Saarbrücken vs Stuttgart II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stuttgart II got the better of Saarbrücken 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Saarbrücken at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Saarbrücken had 65% of the ball to Stuttgart II's 35%, shots finished 19-16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Saarbrücken and 0.83 for Stuttgart II.

What was the final score of Saarbrücken vs Stuttgart II?

Saarbrücken 0-2 Stuttgart II in the Germany - 3rd Division on 14/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Saarbrücken vs Stuttgart II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Saarbrücken win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Saarbrücken 48%, draw 29%, Stuttgart II 24%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Saarbrücken) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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