Reyady Abaseya 1-3 Al Ahed — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lebanon - Premier League, 14 Mar 2025

📅14/03/2025 · 🕒15:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
14%
7.78
Draw
28%
4.19
Away
58%
1.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.8
Over 2.5
50%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.33
No
57%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
7%
X/2
16%
X/X
16%
2/1
3%
2/2
36%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
14%
Home Win
10%
+3.5pp
28%
Draw
21%
+6.6pp
58%
Away Win
68%
-10.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
39%
+4.2pp
57%
BTTS No
61%
-4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Reyady Abaseya EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ahed EU Bookmakers 72%
-26% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
0.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.22/0.72
-100% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +87% / -70%
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
234 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 417 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Reyady Abaseya vs Al Ahed
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ahed got the better of Reyady Abaseya 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Al Ahed as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Reyady Abaseya vs Al Ahed?

Reyady Abaseya 1-3 Al Ahed in the Lebanon - Premier League on 14/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Reyady Abaseya vs Al Ahed?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Ahed win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Reyady Abaseya 14%, draw 28%, Al Ahed 58%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ahed) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Ahed) ✗ BTTS No
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