Nantong Zhiyun 2-1 Hebei Kungfu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 14 Mar 2026

📅14/03/2026 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.76
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
24%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.56
Over 2.5
39%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.13
No
53%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
38%
2.31
2-3 Goals
37%
1.71
4-5 Goals
16%
4.59
6+ Goals
9%
26.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.31 — our 38% vs market 34.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
15%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
4%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
53%
-6.2pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.5pp
24%
Away Win
20%
+3.6pp
61%
Under 2.5
60%
+0.9pp
39%
Over 2.5
40%
-0.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
43%
+4.1pp
53%
BTTS No
57%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nantong Zhiyun EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Hebei Kungfu EU Bookmakers 23%
-16% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +28% / +28%
1.00/0.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.59/0.74
+7% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / +150%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
265 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 232 · 69%
18.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.4
26.0 Crosses 15.3
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nantong Zhiyun
1W-0D-4L
AWAY Hebei Kungfu
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
0.64 xG 0.78
66% Ball Possession 34%
8 Total Shots 13
0 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 7
436 Passes 174
82% Pass Accuracy 64%
18 Box Touches 17
27 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 1
19.07.2025 Hebei Kungfu Hebei Kungfu 3-1 HT 0-0 Nantong Zhiyun Nantong Zhiyun ÇİN2
29.03.2025 Nantong Zhiyun Nantong Zhiyun 0-2 HT 0-1 Hebei Kungfu Hebei Kungfu ÇİN2
21.11.2022 Nantong Zhiyun Nantong Zhiyun 1-2 HT 1-1 Hebei Kungfu Hebei Kungfu ÇİN2
26.10.2022 Hebei Kungfu Hebei Kungfu 0-1 HT 0-0 Nantong Zhiyun Nantong Zhiyun ÇİN2
21.08.2022 Nantong Zhiyun Nantong Zhiyun 0-2 HT 0-1 Hebei Kungfu Hebei Kungfu ÇİNK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nantong Zhiyun
2-1
AWAY Hebei Kungfu
0.96 xG 0.85
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 6
290 Passes 267
78% Pass Accuracy 74%
27 Box Touches 25
28 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Nantong Zhiyun vs Hebei Kungfu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nantong Zhiyun squeezed past Hebei Kungfu 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Nantong Zhiyun as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Nantong Zhiyun had 52% of the ball to Hebei Kungfu's 48%, shots finished 16-8, expected goals 0.96 to 0.85.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Hebei Kungfu led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Nantong Zhiyun and 1.80 for Hebei Kungfu.

What was the final score of Nantong Zhiyun vs Hebei Kungfu?

Nantong Zhiyun 2-1 Hebei Kungfu in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 14/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nantong Zhiyun vs Hebei Kungfu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nantong Zhiyun win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Nantong Zhiyun 47%, draw 30%, Hebei Kungfu 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nantong Zhiyun) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nantong Zhiyun) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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