Al Buqaa 4-2 Sama Al Sarhan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Jordan - Premier League, 14 Mar 2026

📅14/03/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.0
Draw
22%
3.18
Away
35%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.75
Over 2.5
52%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.81
No
45%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
-3.0pp
22%
Draw
28%
-6.0pp
35%
Away Win
26%
+9.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
53%
-5.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
47%
+5.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
51%
+3.9pp
45%
BTTS No
49%
-3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Buqaa EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Sama Al Sarhan EU Bookmakers 30%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
0.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.62/0.92
-100% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +134% / +40%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
316 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Buqaa
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Sama Al Sarhan
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
31.10.2025 Sama Al Sarhan Sama Al Sarhan 1-1 HT 1-1 Al Buqaa Al Buqaa ÜRD
31.07.2025 Al Buqaa Al Buqaa 2-0 HT 0-0 Sama Al Sarhan Sama Al Sarhan ÜRD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Buqaa
4-2
AWAY Sama Al Sarhan
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Buqaa vs Sama Al Sarhan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Buqaa saw off Sama Al Sarhan 4-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al Buqaa as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Al Buqaa had 55% of the ball to Sama Al Sarhan's 45%, shots finished 13-8.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Al Buqaa had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Al Buqaa and 0.50 for Sama Al Sarhan.

What was the final score of Al Buqaa vs Sama Al Sarhan?

Al Buqaa 4-2 Sama Al Sarhan in the Jordan - Premier League on 14/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Buqaa vs Sama Al Sarhan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Buqaa win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Al Buqaa 43%, draw 22%, Sama Al Sarhan 35%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Buqaa), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Buqaa) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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ÜRD More Jordan - Premier League
14 Mar 2026
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