Casarano 2-1 Cosenza Calcio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 14 Mar 2026

📅14/03/2026 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
40%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.8
Over 2.5
51%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.73
No
42%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.94
2-3 Goals
43%
1.71
4-5 Goals
22%
3.54
6+ Goals
10%
14.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
11%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
26%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
34%
-1.7pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.4pp
40%
Away Win
38%
+1.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.5pp
58%
BTTS Yes
54%
+4.4pp
42%
BTTS No
46%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Casarano EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Cosenza Calcio EU Bookmakers 42%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.35/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/1.36
+17% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -24%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
260 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Casarano
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Cosenza Calcio
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 20
6 Shots on Target 11
4 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 0
08.11.2025 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio 4-1 HT 1-0 Casarano Casarano İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Casarano
2-1
AWAY Cosenza Calcio
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Casarano vs Cosenza Calcio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Casarano nicked a narrow win over Cosenza Calcio 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 28% / 40% — and on the day Casarano made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, Casarano had 48% of the ball to Cosenza Calcio's 52%, shots finished 7-11.

What was the final score of Casarano vs Cosenza Calcio?

Casarano 2-1 Cosenza Calcio in the Italy - Serie C on 14/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Casarano vs Cosenza Calcio?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cosenza Calcio win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Casarano 32%, draw 28%, Cosenza Calcio 40%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Cosenza Calcio) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cosenza Calcio) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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