Parma (K) 1-1 Genoa (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italya - Women's Serie A, 14 Mar 2026

📅14/03/2026 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.8
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
24%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.82
Over 2.5
44%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.82
No
52%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
52%
-2.6pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.5pp
24%
Away Win
24%
+0.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
51%
+4.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
49%
-4.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.4pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Parma (K) EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Genoa (K) EU Bookmakers 27%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -40% / -40%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -44%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
336 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
Crosses 12.0
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Parma (K)
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Genoa (K)
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.03 xG 0.48
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 1
368 Passes 268
78% Pass Accuracy 75%
15 Box Touches 14
20 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 1
09.11.2025 Genoa (K) Genoa (K) 1-0 HT 0-0 Parma (K) Parma (K) İTKSA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Parma (K)
1-1
AWAY Genoa (K)
0.60 xG 0.68
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 5
248 Passes 192
68% Pass Accuracy 61%
9 Box Touches 8
14 Crosses 20
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Parma (K) vs Genoa (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Parma (K) and Genoa (K) shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Parma (K) at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Parma (K) had 53% of the ball to Genoa (K)'s 47%, shots finished 10-7, expected goals 0.60 to 0.68.

What was the final score of Parma (K) vs Genoa (K)?

Parma (K) 1-1 Genoa (K) in the Italya - Women's Serie A on 14/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Parma (K) vs Genoa (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Parma (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Parma (K) 49%, draw 27%, Genoa (K) 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Parma (K)), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Parma (K)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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