Paksi SE II 2-1 MTK II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB III, 14 Mar 2026

📅14/03/2026 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.67
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
49%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.1
Over 2.5
55%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.56
No
38%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
6%
X/2
18%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
22%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
33%
-5.2pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.3pp
49%
Away Win
43%
+6.5pp
45%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.3pp
55%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.3pp
62%
BTTS Yes
60%
+1.6pp
38%
BTTS No
40%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paksi SE II EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY MTK II EU Bookmakers 48%
-53% / -53% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +39% / +39%
0.00/3.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 6.00/0.00
-100% / -50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% /
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
297 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paksi SE II
0W-0D-1L
AWAY MTK II
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
17 Total Shots 22
6 Shots on Target 10
6 Corners 4
27.08.2025 MTK II MTK II 3-0 HT 2-0 Paksi SE II Paksi SE II MAC3
POST-MATCH Paksi SE II vs MTK II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paksi SE II edged past MTK II 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was MTK II at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (62%) came in.

What was the final score of Paksi SE II vs MTK II?

Paksi SE II 2-1 MTK II in the Hungary - NB III on 14/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paksi SE II vs MTK II?

Before kick-off our model rated an MTK II win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Paksi SE II 28%, draw 23%, MTK II 49%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (MTK II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (MTK II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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