Sportivo Luqueno 1-1 Sportivo San Lorenzo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 14 Mar 2026

Sportivo Luqueno
1-1 HT 1-1
Sportivo San Lorenzo
📅14/03/2026 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Paraguay - Profesyonel League – 2026

Sportivo Luqueno vs Sportivo San Lorenzo Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.89
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
23%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.67
Over 2.5
49%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.9
No
46%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
49%
+0.6pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.2pp
23%
Away Win
24%
-0.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
56%
-4.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
44%
+4.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
49%
+5.5pp
46%
BTTS No
51%
-5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sportivo Luqueno v Sportivo San Lorenzo — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sportivo Luqueno EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Sportivo San Lorenzo EU Bookmakers 27%
+6% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -26%
1.65/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.44/1.62
+16% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -59% / -23%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
334 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 76%
16.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
8.0 Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5

Sportivo Luqueno vs Sportivo San Lorenzo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sportivo Luqueno
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Sportivo San Lorenzo
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
The Meetings
13.11.2020 Sportivo San Lorenzo Sportivo San Lorenzo 1-2 HT 0-1 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno PAR
31.08.2020 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno 0-0 HT 0-0 Sportivo San Lorenzo Sportivo San Lorenzo PAR
25.02.2020 Sportivo San Lorenzo Sportivo San Lorenzo 0-0 HT 0-0 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno PAR
08.10.2019 Sportivo San Lorenzo Sportivo San Lorenzo 2-0 HT 0-0 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno PAR
30.11.2015 Sportivo San Lorenzo Sportivo San Lorenzo 2-2 HT 0-1 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno PAR
05.09.2015 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno 2-1 HT 1-1 Sportivo San Lorenzo Sportivo San Lorenzo PAR

Sportivo Luqueno 1-1 Sportivo San Lorenzo — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sportivo Luqueno
1-1
AWAY Sportivo San Lorenzo
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 0
POST-MATCH Sportivo Luqueno vs Sportivo San Lorenzo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sportivo Luqueno and Sportivo San Lorenzo couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Sportivo Luqueno at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Sportivo Luqueno had 55% of the ball to Sportivo San Lorenzo's 45%, shots finished 15-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sportivo Luqueno had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sportivo Luqueno and 1.00 for Sportivo San Lorenzo.

What was the final score of Sportivo Luqueno vs Sportivo San Lorenzo?

Sportivo Luqueno 1-1 Sportivo San Lorenzo in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 14/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sportivo Luqueno vs Sportivo San Lorenzo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sportivo Luqueno win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Sportivo Luqueno 50%, draw 27%, Sportivo San Lorenzo 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sportivo Luqueno) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sportivo Luqueno) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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