New York Cosmos vs Portland Hearts of Pine Prediction — Model Probabilities
New York Cosmos v Portland Hearts of Pine — Team-Based Signals
New York Cosmos 1-3 Portland Hearts of Pine — Actual Match Statistics
Portland Hearts of Pine took care of New York Cosmos 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had Portland Hearts of Pine as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 51% and both teams to score at 48%, coin-flips both. The market went further still — the BTTS-yes price closed at 1.67, about 60%.
By the numbers, Portland Hearts of Pine saw more of the ball, 57% to 43%, shots finished 10-6, expected goals 0.63 to 0.94.
New York Cosmos vs Portland Hearts of Pine Result & Final Score
New York Cosmos 1-3 Portland Hearts of Pine in the USA - USL League 1 on 14/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
New York Cosmos vs Portland Hearts of Pine Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Portland Hearts of Pine win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split New York Cosmos 25%, draw 21%, Portland Hearts of Pine 54%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Portland Hearts of Pine), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.