Shanghai Port 4-3 Shandong Taishan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 14 Apr 2024

Shanghai Port
4-3 HT 2-3
Shandong Taishan
📅14/04/2024 · 🕒14:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League – 2024

Shanghai Port vs Shandong Taishan Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.53
Draw
27%
4.19
Away
28%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.51
Over 2.5
54%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.56
No
49%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
5.58
2-3 Goals
37%
2.02
4-5 Goals
27%
2.64
6+ Goals
11%
6.29
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1.87
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
7%
15.3
X/1
12%
4.06
X/2
8%
11.7
X/X
16%
6.77
2/1
10%
19.7
2/2
12%
7.93
2/X
4%
15.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
61%
-16.4pp
27%
Draw
21%
+6.2pp
28%
Away Win
18%
+10.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
36%
+10.4pp
54%
Over 2.5
64%
-10.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
60%
-9.0pp
49%
BTTS No
40%
+9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Shanghai Port v Shandong Taishan — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shanghai Port EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Shandong Taishan EU Bookmakers 21%
-3% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.89/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.25
+15% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +56% / -4%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
409 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 78%
29.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.2
27.9 Crosses 21.6
1.7 Yellow Cards 4.1

Shanghai Port vs Shandong Taishan Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shanghai Port
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Shandong Taishan
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.19 xG 1.45
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
300 Passes 362
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
29.10.2023 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port 1-1 HT 1-0 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan ÇİN
03.07.2023 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan 1-1 HT 1-0 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port ÇİNSL
23.12.2022 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port 2-0 HT 1-0 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan ÇİN
30.10.2022 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan 3-1 HT 0-0 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port ÇİN
09.01.2022 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan 1-0 HT 0-0 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port ÇİNK
01.01.2022 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan 2-2 HT 1-0 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port ÇİN

Shanghai Port 4-3 Shandong Taishan — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shanghai Port
4-3
AWAY Shandong Taishan
4.10 xG 1.55
56% Ball Possession 44%
26 Total Shots 16
13 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 1
298 Passes 209
77% Pass Accuracy 67%
38 Box Touches 21
24 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Shanghai Port vs Shandong Taishan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shanghai Port squeezed past Shandong Taishan 4-3. It was 2-3 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Shanghai Port as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Shanghai Port had 56% of the ball to Shandong Taishan's 44%, shots finished 26-16, expected goals 4.10 to 1.55 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Shanghai Port's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shandong Taishan led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Shanghai Port and 1.33 for Shandong Taishan.

What was the final score of Shanghai Port vs Shandong Taishan?

Shanghai Port 4-3 Shandong Taishan in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shanghai Port vs Shandong Taishan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shanghai Port win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Shanghai Port 45%, draw 27%, Shandong Taishan 28%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shanghai Port), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Shanghai Port) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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