Arsenal (K) 5-0 Bristol Academy (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Women's Premier League, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒20:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
73%
1.11
Draw
20%
8.78
Away
7%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
33%
Over 2.5
67%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
No
47%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
36%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
56%
1/2
2%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
2%
X/X
7%
2/1
4%
2/2
2%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
73%
Home Win
85%
-12.1pp
20%
Draw
8%
+11.2pp
7%
Away Win
6%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arsenal (K) EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Bristol Academy (K) EU Bookmakers 9%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
1.26/0.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.37/1.79
-60% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / +18%
55% Ball Possession 45%
19 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
488 · 88% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 77%
56.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 6.5
30.0 Crosses 7.1
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arsenal (K)
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Bristol Academy (K)
5.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
5.11 xG 0.56
70% Ball Possession 30%
24 Total Shots 6
12 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 2
552 Passes 184
85% Pass Accuracy 64%
55 Box Touches 6
26 Crosses 9
0 Yellow Cards 1
01.12.2019 Arsenal (K) Arsenal (K) 11-1 HT 5-0 Bristol Academy (K) Bristol Academy (K) İNKPL
14.03.2019 Arsenal (K) Arsenal (K) 4-0 HT 1-0 Bristol Academy (K) Bristol Academy (K) İNKPL
28.10.2018 Bristol Academy (K) Bristol Academy (K) 0-4 HT 0-2 Arsenal (K) Arsenal (K) İNKPL
20.05.2018 Bristol Academy (K) Bristol Academy (K) 1-6 HT 0-5 Arsenal (K) Arsenal (K) İNKPL
08.10.2017 Arsenal (K) Arsenal (K) 1-1 HT 0-1 Bristol Academy (K) Bristol Academy (K) İNKPL
03.06.2017 Bristol Academy (K) Bristol Academy (K) 0-5 HT 0-1 Arsenal (K) Arsenal (K) İNKPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arsenal (K)
5-0
AWAY Bristol Academy (K)
3.35 xG 0.48
74% Ball Possession 26%
31 Total Shots 3
13 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 3
808 Passes 214
91% Pass Accuracy 71%
81 Box Touches 6
16 Crosses 4
POST-MATCH Arsenal (K) vs Bristol Academy (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arsenal (K) ran out comfortable winners over Bristol Academy (K) 5-0. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Arsenal (K) as the likeliest winner at 73%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (67%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Arsenal (K) had 74% of the ball to Bristol Academy (K)'s 26%, shots finished 31-3, expected goals 3.35 to 0.48.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Arsenal (K) had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 5.17 goals for Arsenal (K) and 0.50 for Bristol Academy (K).

What was the final score of Arsenal (K) vs Bristol Academy (K)?

Arsenal (K) 5-0 Bristol Academy (K) in the England - Women's Premier League on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arsenal (K) vs Bristol Academy (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arsenal (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 73%, with the full match-result split Arsenal (K) 73%, draw 20%, Bristol Academy (K) 7%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arsenal (K)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Arsenal (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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