Nürnberg (K) 0-4 Essen-Schönebeck (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Women's Bundesliga, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.87
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
42%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.29
Over 2.5
45%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.6
No
48%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
16%
X/2
21%
X/X
13%
2/1
3%
2/2
17%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
22%
+10.1pp
26%
Draw
23%
+3.1pp
42%
Away Win
55%
-13.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
40%
+15.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
60%
-15.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.9pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nürnberg (K) EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Essen-Schönebeck (K) EU Bookmakers 59%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
267 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nürnberg (K)
0-4
AWAY Essen-Schönebeck (K)
0.16 xG 1.54
42% Ball Possession 58%
4 Total Shots 24
0 Shots on Target 9
0 Corners 9
196 Passes 290
71% Pass Accuracy 80%
2 Box Touches 35
3 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Nürnberg (K) vs Essen-Schönebeck (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Essen-Schönebeck (K) swept aside Nürnberg (K) 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Essen-Schönebeck (K) as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Nürnberg (K) had 42% of the ball to Essen-Schönebeck (K)'s 58%, shots finished 4-24, expected goals 0.16 to 1.54.

What was the final score of Nürnberg (K) vs Essen-Schönebeck (K)?

Nürnberg (K) 0-4 Essen-Schönebeck (K) in the Germany - Women's Bundesliga on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nürnberg (K) vs Essen-Schönebeck (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Essen-Schönebeck (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Nürnberg (K) 33%, draw 26%, Essen-Schönebeck (K) 42%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Essen-Schönebeck (K)) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Essen-Schönebeck (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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