Dnepr Rogachev 0-1 Dinamo Minsk II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - 1st Division, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.32
Draw
17%
5.15
Away
20%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.96
Over 2.5
61%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
No
45%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
44%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
5%
X/X
6%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
71%
-8.6pp
17%
Draw
16%
+1.2pp
20%
Away Win
13%
+7.5pp
39%
Under 2.5
30%
+8.8pp
61%
Over 2.5
70%
-8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dnepr Rogachev EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Dinamo Minsk II EU Bookmakers 16%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+4% / -54% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
401 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dnepr Rogachev
0-1
AWAY Dinamo Minsk II
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 6
POST-MATCH Dnepr Rogachev vs Dinamo Minsk II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dinamo Minsk II squeezed past Dnepr Rogachev 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Dnepr Rogachev at 62% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Dnepr Rogachev had 53% of the ball to Dinamo Minsk II's 47%, shots finished 16-11.

What was the final score of Dnepr Rogachev vs Dinamo Minsk II?

Dnepr Rogachev 0-1 Dinamo Minsk II in the Belarus - 1st Division on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dnepr Rogachev vs Dinamo Minsk II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dnepr Rogachev win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Dnepr Rogachev 62%, draw 17%, Dinamo Minsk II 20%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Dnepr Rogachev) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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