Pacific FC 1-0 HFX Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kanada - Premier League, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.02
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
31%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.71
Over 2.5
46%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.85
No
53%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.82
2-3 Goals
50%
1.77
4-5 Goals
14%
4.13
6+ Goals
7%
19.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
-0.3pp
24%
Draw
28%
-3.7pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+4.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
55%
-0.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
45%
+0.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.6pp
53%
BTTS No
50%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pacific FC EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY HFX Wanderers EU Bookmakers 30%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -9%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / -6%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
341 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.4
Crosses 13.3
Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pacific FC
3W-2D-1L
AWAY HFX Wanderers
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.93 xG 1.11
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
346 Passes 439
80% Pass Accuracy 84%
19 Box Touches 21
14 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
14.10.2023 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers 0-1 HT 0-1 Pacific FC Pacific FC CAPL
09.09.2023 Pacific FC Pacific FC 1-1 HT 0-1 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers CAPL
07.08.2023 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers 1-2 HT 0-1 Pacific FC Pacific FC KAPL
12.07.2023 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers 2-1 HT 1-0 Pacific FC Pacific FC KAPL
28.05.2023 Pacific FC Pacific FC 1-1 HT 1-0 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers KAPL
28.09.2022 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers 0-2 HT 0-1 Pacific FC Pacific FC KAPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pacific FC
1-0
AWAY HFX Wanderers
0.95 xG 1.29
41% Ball Possession 59%
4 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 8
347 Passes 500
83% Pass Accuracy 86%
10 Box Touches 32
7 Crosses 34
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Pacific FC vs HFX Wanderers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pacific FC nicked a narrow win over HFX Wanderers 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Pacific FC as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Pacific FC had 41% of the ball to HFX Wanderers's 59%, shots finished 4-13, expected goals 0.95 to 1.29.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pacific FC had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Pacific FC and 0.83 for HFX Wanderers.

What was the final score of Pacific FC vs HFX Wanderers?

Pacific FC 1-0 HFX Wanderers in the Kanada - Premier League on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pacific FC vs HFX Wanderers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pacific FC win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Pacific FC 45%, draw 24%, HFX Wanderers 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pacific FC), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Pacific FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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