Chabab Mohammedia 0-2 Raja Casablanca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Morocco - League, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
6.35
Draw
33%
3.8
Away
49%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.52
Over 2.5
37%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
32%
2.75
No
68%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
44%
2.26
2-3 Goals
37%
1.79
4-5 Goals
12%
5.45
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.26 — our 44% vs market 37.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
6%
X/2
18%
X/X
23%
2/1
6%
2/2
23%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
13%
+4.9pp
34%
Draw
23%
+10.5pp
49%
Away Win
64%
-15.4pp
63%
Under 2.5
62%
+1.0pp
37%
Over 2.5
38%
-1.0pp
32%
BTTS Yes
32%
-0.4pp
68%
BTTS No
68%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chabab Mohammedia EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY Raja Casablanca EU Bookmakers 69%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -34%
0.60/1.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/0.65
-20% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -49% / +17%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
296 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 463 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chabab Mohammedia
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Raja Casablanca
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
36% Ball Possession 64%
5 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
08.04.2024 Chabab Mohammedia Chabab Mohammedia 0-1 HT 0-1 Raja Casablanca Raja Casablanca FASK
26.11.2023 Raja Casablanca Raja Casablanca 1-0 HT 0-0 Chabab Mohammedia Chabab Mohammedia FAS
04.03.2023 Raja Casablanca Raja Casablanca 1-0 HT 0-0 Chabab Mohammedia Chabab Mohammedia FAS
30.09.2022 Chabab Mohammedia Chabab Mohammedia 0-0 HT 0-0 Raja Casablanca Raja Casablanca FAS
19.06.2022 Chabab Mohammedia Chabab Mohammedia 0-0 HT 0-0 Raja Casablanca Raja Casablanca FAS
19.11.2021 Raja Casablanca Raja Casablanca 2-1 HT 0-1 Chabab Mohammedia Chabab Mohammedia FAS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chabab Mohammedia
0-2
AWAY Raja Casablanca
36% Ball Possession 64%
3 Total Shots 20
1 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 10
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Chabab Mohammedia vs Raja Casablanca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Raja Casablanca beat Chabab Mohammedia 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Raja Casablanca as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (68%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Chabab Mohammedia had 36% of the ball to Raja Casablanca's 64%, shots finished 3-20.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Raja Casablanca led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Chabab Mohammedia and 0.83 for Raja Casablanca.

What was the final score of Chabab Mohammedia vs Raja Casablanca?

Chabab Mohammedia 0-2 Raja Casablanca in the Morocco - League on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chabab Mohammedia vs Raja Casablanca?

Before kick-off our model rated an Raja Casablanca win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Chabab Mohammedia 18%, draw 34%, Raja Casablanca 49%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Raja Casablanca), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Raja Casablanca) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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