Saint-Étienne (K) 1-6 Lyon (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Women's 1st Divisioni, 14 Apr 2024

Saint-Étienne (K)
1-6 HT 1-4
Lyon (K)
📅14/04/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-4 ✗ 2nd Score 0-3 ✗
France - Women's 1st Divisioni – 2025/2026

Saint-Étienne (K) vs Lyon (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
14%
12.23
Draw
15%
8.78
Away
71%
1.06
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
Over 2.5
61%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
No
57%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
9%
1/X
3%
X/1
5%
X/2
9%
X/X
6%
2/1
5%
2/2
52%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
15%
Home Win
5%
+10.0pp
15%
Draw
8%
+7.1pp
71%
Away Win
88%
-17.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Saint-Étienne (K) v Lyon (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Saint-Étienne (K) EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Lyon (K) EU Bookmakers 94%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +128%
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 8
290 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 504 · 87%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 35.8
– Crosses 25.6
– Yellow Cards 1.7

Saint-Étienne (K) 1-6 Lyon (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Saint-Étienne (K)
1-6
AWAY Lyon (K)
0.95 xG 6.64
40% Ball Possession 60%
4 Total Shots 30
3 Shots on Target 12
1 Corners 10
226 Passes 426
69% Pass Accuracy 89%
4 Box Touches 51
4 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Saint-Étienne (K) vs Lyon (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lyon (K) ran out comfortable winners over Saint-Étienne (K) 6-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-4. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Lyon (K) as the likeliest winner at 71%, and the 6-1 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

On the day, Saint-Étienne (K) had 40% of the ball to Lyon (K)'s 60%, shots finished 4-30, expected goals 0.95 to 6.64.

What was the final score of Saint-Étienne (K) vs Lyon (K)?

Saint-Étienne (K) 1-6 Lyon (K) in the France - Women's 1st Divisioni on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Saint-Étienne (K) vs Lyon (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lyon (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 71%, with the full match-result split Saint-Étienne (K) 15%, draw 15%, Lyon (K) 71%. The final score 1-6 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lyon (K)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lyon (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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