Incheon United 1-1 Daegu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.09
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
29%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.6
Over 2.5
44%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.96
No
56%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.54
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.66
6+ Goals
8%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.06
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.8
X/1
16%
4.49
X/2
11%
6.69
X/X
11%
3.91
2/1
12%
30.0
2/2
12%
5.35
2/X
7%
14.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
44%
+1.3pp
26%
Draw
29%
-3.1pp
29%
Away Win
27%
+1.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.7pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Incheon United EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Daegu EU Bookmakers 31%
-3% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -3%
1.11/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.50
-21% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -9%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
366 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 71%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.1
20.6 Crosses 15.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Incheon United
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Daegu
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.04 xG 0.87
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
479 Passes 264
83% Pass Accuracy 73%
24 Box Touches 21
16 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.12.2023 Daegu Daegu 2-1 HT 1-0 Incheon United Incheon United GKOK
13.08.2023 Incheon United Incheon United 3-1 HT 3-0 Daegu Daegu GKOK
27.05.2023 Daegu Daegu 2-2 HT 0-1 Incheon United Incheon United GKOK
01.04.2023 Incheon United Incheon United 0-0 HT 0-0 Daegu Daegu GKOK
07.08.2022 Daegu Daegu 2-3 HT 1-1 Incheon United Incheon United GKOK
17.05.2022 Incheon United Incheon United 2-2 HT 1-1 Daegu Daegu GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Incheon United
1-1
AWAY Daegu
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 2
493 Passes 356
85% Pass Accuracy 81%
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Incheon United vs Daegu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Incheon United and Daegu shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Incheon United at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (56%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Incheon United had 57% of the ball to Daegu's 43%, shots finished 11-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Incheon United had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Incheon United and 1.50 for Daegu.

What was the final score of Incheon United vs Daegu?

Incheon United 1-1 Daegu in the South Kore - K League Classic on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Incheon United vs Daegu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Incheon United win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Incheon United 45%, draw 26%, Daegu 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Incheon United), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Incheon United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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