FC Goa 4-1 Chennaiyin FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — India - Super League, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
64%
1.37
Draw
22%
4.62
Away
14%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under
52%
2.51
Over
48%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1
24%
5.26
2-3
40%
1.98
4-5
27%
2.7
6+
9%
6.77
Value flag · 0-1 at 5.26 — our 24% vs market 14.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
23%
X/2
5%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
4%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
FC Goa win — 64%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
64%
Home Win
68%
-4.2pp
22%
Draw
18%
+4.2pp
14%
Away Win
14%
+0.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
36%
+15.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
64%
-15.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.8pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Goa The Market 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Chennaiyin FC The Market 17%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +29% / +29%
1.72/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.50
-20% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +92% / -2%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
354 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 75%
32.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.9
29.9 Crosses 19.3
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Goa
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Chennaiyin FC
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.50 xG 1.02
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
360 Passes 218
78% Pass Accuracy 69%
23 Box Touches 14
21 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.11.2023 Chennaiyin FC Chennaiyin FC 0-3 HT 0-2 FC Goa FC Goa HİNSL
16.02.2023 FC Goa FC Goa 1-2 HT 0-1 Chennaiyin FC Chennaiyin FC HİNSL
21.10.2022 Chennaiyin FC Chennaiyin FC 0-2 HT 0-1 FC Goa FC Goa HİNSL
09.02.2022 Chennaiyin FC Chennaiyin FC 0-5 HT 0-4 FC Goa FC Goa HİNSL
08.01.2022 FC Goa FC Goa 1-0 HT 0-0 Chennaiyin FC Chennaiyin FC HİNSL
13.02.2021 Chennaiyin FC Chennaiyin FC 2-2 HT 1-1 FC Goa FC Goa HİNSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Goa
4-1
AWAY Chennaiyin FC
2.71 xG 0.94
66% Ball Possession 34%
21 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 1
485 Passes 194
87% Pass Accuracy 69%
31 Box Touches 13
13 Crosses 9
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FC Goa vs Chennaiyin FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Goa swept aside Chennaiyin FC 4-1. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had FC Goa as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, FC Goa had 66% of the ball to Chennaiyin FC's 34%, shots finished 21-9, expected goals 2.71 to 0.94.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Goa had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for FC Goa and 0.67 for Chennaiyin FC.

What was the final score of FC Goa vs Chennaiyin FC?

FC Goa 4-1 Chennaiyin FC in the India - Super League on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Goa vs Chennaiyin FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Goa win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split FC Goa 64%, draw 22%, Chennaiyin FC 14%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Goa) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Goa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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