ADO Den Haag (K) 0-1 Heerenveen (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie, 14 Apr 2024

ADO Den Haag (K)
0-1 HT 0-0
Heerenveen (K)
📅14/04/2024 · 🕒13:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie – 2023/2024

ADO Den Haag (K) vs Heerenveen (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.29
Draw
21%
4.95
Away
16%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.21
Over 2.5
48%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.06
No
60%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
26%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
11%
2/2
5%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
73%
-10.4pp
21%
Draw
17%
+3.8pp
16%
Away Win
10%
+6.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
41%
+11.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
59%
-11.0pp
40%
BTTS Yes
44%
-4.7pp
60%
BTTS No
56%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

ADO Den Haag (K) v Heerenveen (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ADO Den Haag (K) EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Heerenveen (K) EU Bookmakers 12%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
2.68/0.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/3.51
+16% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -35%
61% Ball Possession 39%
14 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
477 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0

ADO Den Haag (K) 0-1 Heerenveen (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ADO Den Haag (K)
0-1
AWAY Heerenveen (K)
67% Ball Possession 33%
20 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 2
15 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH ADO Den Haag (K) vs Heerenveen (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Heerenveen (K) squeezed past ADO Den Haag (K) 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had ADO Den Haag (K) at 63% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

On the day, ADO Den Haag (K) had 67% of the ball to Heerenveen (K)'s 33%, shots finished 20-4.

What was the final score of ADO Den Haag (K) vs Heerenveen (K)?

ADO Den Haag (K) 0-1 Heerenveen (K) in the Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ADO Den Haag (K) vs Heerenveen (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a ADO Den Haag (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split ADO Den Haag (K) 63%, draw 21%, Heerenveen (K) 16%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (ADO Den Haag (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (ADO Den Haag (K)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →