Hibernians FC 2-2 Valletta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - Premier League, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒17:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.76
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
33%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.68
Over 2.5
37%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
1.96
No
64%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
53%
-11.9pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.5pp
33%
Away Win
22%
+11.4pp
63%
Under 2.5
56%
+7.1pp
37%
Over 2.5
44%
-7.1pp
36%
BTTS Yes
47%
-11.3pp
64%
BTTS No
53%
+11.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hibernians FC EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Valletta EU Bookmakers 25%
-23% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
0.92/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.20
-33% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +15%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
327 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hibernians FC
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Valletta
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
42% Ball Possession 58%
6 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
09.12.2023 Valletta Valletta 0-2 HT 0-1 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC MLTP
17.12.2022 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC 0-4 HT 0-0 Valletta Valletta MLTP
21.08.2022 Valletta Valletta 1-1 HT 0-0 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC MLTP
12.02.2022 Valletta Valletta 1-4 HT 0-2 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC MLTP
24.10.2021 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC 1-1 HT 1-0 Valletta Valletta MLTP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hibernians FC
2-2
AWAY Valletta
53% Ball Possession 47%
6 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hibernians FC vs Valletta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hibernians FC and Valletta shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Hibernians FC at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (64%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hibernians FC had 53% of the ball to Valletta's 47%, shots finished 6-6.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Hibernians FC had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Hibernians FC and 1.40 for Valletta.

What was the final score of Hibernians FC vs Valletta?

Hibernians FC 2-2 Valletta in the Malta - Premier League on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hibernians FC vs Valletta?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hibernians FC win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Hibernians FC 41%, draw 26%, Valletta 33%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Hibernians FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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