Zimbru 1-1 Petrocub — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Moldova - National League, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.87
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
42%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.75
Over 2.5
53%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.88
No
48%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
23%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
22%
+6.3pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.9pp
42%
Away Win
52%
-9.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
53%
-5.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
47%
+5.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.9pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zimbru EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Petrocub EU Bookmakers 56%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.12/1.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/0.68
+59% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +14%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
254 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zimbru
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Petrocub
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
10.11.2023 Zimbru Zimbru 1-1 HT 1-0 Petrocub Petrocub MOLD
16.09.2023 Petrocub Petrocub 0-2 HT 0-0 Zimbru Zimbru MOLD
14.05.2023 Zimbru Zimbru 1-2 HT 1-2 Petrocub Petrocub MOLD
09.04.2023 Petrocub Petrocub 3-2 HT 3-1 Zimbru Zimbru MOLD
16.10.2022 Zimbru Zimbru 2-1 HT 1-1 Petrocub Petrocub MOLD
20.08.2022 Petrocub Petrocub 2-2 HT 0-1 Zimbru Zimbru MOLD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zimbru
1-1
AWAY Petrocub
38% Ball Possession 62%
7 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Zimbru vs Petrocub
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zimbru and Petrocub shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Petrocub at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Zimbru had 38% of the ball to Petrocub's 62%, shots finished 7-17.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Zimbru and 1.50 for Petrocub.

What was the final score of Zimbru vs Petrocub?

Zimbru 1-1 Petrocub in the Moldova - National League on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zimbru vs Petrocub?

Before kick-off our model rated an Petrocub win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Zimbru 29%, draw 29%, Petrocub 42%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Petrocub), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Petrocub) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →