Erbaaspor 2-3 Ağrı 1970 Spor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 3rd Division 3.Grup, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.49
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
21%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
Over 2.5
52%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
No
58%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
25%
X/2
13%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
4%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
63%
-8.4pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.1pp
21%
Away Win
12%
+8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Erbaaspor EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Ağrı 1970 Spor EU Bookmakers 15%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
1.28/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.99
-20% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +61% / -15%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
290 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Erbaaspor
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Ağrı 1970 Spor
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
03.12.2023 Ağrı 1970 Spor Ağrı 1970 Spor 0-1 HT 0-0 Erbaaspor Erbaaspor S3-3
15.03.2020 Ağrı 1970 Spor Ağrı 1970 Spor 0-4 HT 0-2 Erbaaspor Erbaaspor S3-2
POST-MATCH Erbaaspor vs Ağrı 1970 Spor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ağrı 1970 Spor squeezed past Erbaaspor 3-2 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Erbaaspor at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Erbaaspor had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Erbaaspor and 0.00 for Ağrı 1970 Spor.

What was the final score of Erbaaspor vs Ağrı 1970 Spor?

Erbaaspor 2-3 Ağrı 1970 Spor in the Turkey - 3rd Division 3.Grup on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Erbaaspor vs Ağrı 1970 Spor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Erbaaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Erbaaspor 55%, draw 25%, Ağrı 1970 Spor 21%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Erbaaspor), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Erbaaspor) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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