Samorin 2-1 Tatran Presov — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovakia - 2nd Division, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
3.87
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
57%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.1
Over 2.5
61%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.68
No
45%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
30%
4-5 Goals
35%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
7%
X/2
25%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
26%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
22%
-0.1pp
21%
Draw
23%
-2.8pp
57%
Away Win
54%
+2.9pp
39%
Under 2.5
44%
-4.8pp
61%
Over 2.5
56%
+4.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.7pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Samorin EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Tatran Presov EU Bookmakers 58%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
1.30/1.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.67/0.33
+25% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +150%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
325 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 397 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.9 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Samorin
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Tatran Presov
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 1
23.09.2023 Tatran Presov Tatran Presov 2-0 HT 2-0 Samorin Samorin SLVK2
04.03.2023 Tatran Presov Tatran Presov 2-1 HT 2-0 Samorin Samorin SLVK2
07.08.2022 Samorin Samorin 3-0 HT 1-0 Tatran Presov Tatran Presov SLVK2
POST-MATCH Samorin vs Tatran Presov
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Samorin squeezed past Tatran Presov 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

This one beat our numbers. Tatran Presov carried 57% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Tatran Presov led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Samorin and 1.33 for Tatran Presov.

What was the final score of Samorin vs Tatran Presov?

Samorin 2-1 Tatran Presov in the Slovakia - 2nd Division on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Samorin vs Tatran Presov?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tatran Presov win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Samorin 22%, draw 21%, Tatran Presov 57%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Tatran Presov) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tatran Presov) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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