Nafta 3-4 NK Brinje — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 2.SNL, 14 Apr 2024

Nafta
3-4 HT 1-1
NK Brinje
📅14/04/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Slovenia - 2.SNL – 2023/2024

Nafta vs NK Brinje Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.25
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
37%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.0
Over 2.5
45%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.63
No
56%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
18%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
41%
-5.4pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.6pp
36%
Away Win
34%
+2.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
46%
+8.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
54%
-8.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
57%
-12.8pp
56%
BTTS No
43%
+12.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Nafta v NK Brinje — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nafta EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY NK Brinje EU Bookmakers 37%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
2.23/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.34/1.33
+42% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -77% / +13%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
385 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 82%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.9 Yellow Cards 3.0

Nafta vs NK Brinje Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nafta
2W-0D-1L
AWAY NK Brinje
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
11.10.2023 NK Brinje NK Brinje 1-3 HT 1-2 Nafta Nafta SLVN2
24.03.2023 Nafta Nafta 0-2 HT 0-2 NK Brinje NK Brinje SLVN2
09.09.2022 NK Brinje NK Brinje 1-3 HT 1-2 Nafta Nafta SLVN2
POST-MATCH Nafta vs NK Brinje
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

NK Brinje edged past Nafta 4-3 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 28% / 36% — and on the day NK Brinje made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Nafta had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Nafta and 1.33 for NK Brinje.

What was the final score of Nafta vs NK Brinje?

Nafta 3-4 NK Brinje in the Slovenia - 2.SNL on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nafta vs NK Brinje?

Before kick-off our model rated an NK Brinje win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Nafta 35%, draw 28%, NK Brinje 36%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (NK Brinje) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (NK Brinje) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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