Monastir 1-1 ES Tunis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 1st Division Yükselme / Düşme, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.84
Draw
32%
2.88
Away
37%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.38
Over 2.5
32%
2.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.33
No
62%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
1.93
2-3 Goals
42%
1.87
4-5 Goals
13%
7.08
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
32%
-1.1pp
32%
Draw
31%
+0.7pp
37%
Away Win
37%
+0.4pp
68%
Under 2.5
69%
-0.9pp
32%
Over 2.5
31%
+0.9pp
38%
BTTS Yes
39%
-1.1pp
62%
BTTS No
61%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Monastir EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY ES Tunis EU Bookmakers 40%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
0.88/0.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.55/0.46
-28% / +104% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -53% / +56%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
279 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Monastir
2W-1D-3L
AWAY ES Tunis
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
44% Ball Possession 56%
4 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
30.12.2023 Monastir Monastir 1-2 HT 0-1 ES Tunis ES Tunis TUN1B
07.10.2023 ES Tunis ES Tunis 2-0 HT 1-0 Monastir Monastir TUN1B
04.06.2023 Monastir Monastir 3-2 HT 1-1 ES Tunis ES Tunis TUN
09.04.2023 ES Tunis ES Tunis 1-1 HT 0-0 Monastir Monastir TUN
26.05.2022 Monastir Monastir 3-2 HT 1-1 ES Tunis ES Tunis TUN
03.05.2022 ES Tunis ES Tunis 1-0 HT 0-0 Monastir Monastir TUN
POST-MATCH Monastir vs ES Tunis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Monastir and ES Tunis shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 32% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (68%) landed while no to both teams scoring (62%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, ES Tunis led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Monastir and 1.67 for ES Tunis.

What was the final score of Monastir vs ES Tunis?

Monastir 1-1 ES Tunis in the Tunisia - 1st Division Yükselme / Düşme on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Monastir vs ES Tunis?

Before kick-off our model rated an ES Tunis win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Monastir 31%, draw 32%, ES Tunis 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (ES Tunis), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (ES Tunis) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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