Uruguay Montevideo 0-1 Albion — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - 2nd Division, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.9
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
30%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
56%
1.75
Over
44%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.85
No
55%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1
32%
2-3
37%
4-5
23%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
14%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
41%
Home Win
48%
-7.8pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.5pp
30%
Away Win
25%
+5.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
53%
+2.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
47%
-2.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
50%
-5.0pp
55%
BTTS No
50%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Uruguay Montevideo The Market 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Albion The Market 29%
+35% / +35% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
2.68/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/0.78
+140% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +49%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
374 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.7 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Uruguay Montevideo
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Albion
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 3
15.07.2023 Uruguay Montevideo Uruguay Montevideo 1-0 HT 0-0 Albion Albion URU2
02.04.2023 Uruguay Montevideo Uruguay Montevideo 1-2 HT 0-0 Albion Albion URU2
04.10.2021 Albion Albion 1-0 HT 0-0 Uruguay Montevideo Uruguay Montevideo URU2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Uruguay Montevideo
0-1
AWAY Albion
50% Ball Possession 50%
7 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
POST-MATCH Uruguay Montevideo vs Albion
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Albion squeezed past Uruguay Montevideo 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Uruguay Montevideo at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Uruguay Montevideo had 50% of the ball to Albion's 50%, shots finished 7-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Albion led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Uruguay Montevideo and 1.00 for Albion.

What was the final score of Uruguay Montevideo vs Albion?

Uruguay Montevideo 0-1 Albion in the Uruguay - 2nd Division on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Uruguay Montevideo vs Albion?

Before kick-off our model rated a Uruguay Montevideo win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Uruguay Montevideo 41%, draw 29%, Albion 30%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Uruguay Montevideo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Uruguay Montevideo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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