Vasteras SK FK 1-0 Falkenbergs FF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 14 Apr 2025

Vasteras SK FK
1-0 HT 1-0
Falkenbergs FF
📅14/04/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Sweden - Superettan – 2025

Vasteras SK FK vs Falkenbergs FF Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.49
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
23%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.03
Over 2.5
48%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.88
No
55%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
3.6
2-3 Goals
43%
1.8
4-5 Goals
20%
3.12
6+ Goals
10%
10.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.6 — our 27% vs market 21.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1.83
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
7%
16.95
X/1
15%
3.94
X/2
8%
12.75
X/X
12%
6.09
2/1
10%
22.45
2/2
10%
10.75
2/X
5%
19.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
63%
-10.2pp
24%
Draw
21%
+3.0pp
23%
Away Win
16%
+7.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
45%
+6.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
55%
-6.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.6pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Vasteras SK FK v Falkenbergs FF — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vasteras SK FK EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Falkenbergs FF EU Bookmakers 19%
-5% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +2%
1.56/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.37
-14% / +57% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +26%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
337 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 238 · 69%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0

Vasteras SK FK vs Falkenbergs FF Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vasteras SK FK
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Falkenbergs FF
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
54% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
28.08.2021 Vasteras SK FK Vasteras SK FK 1-3 HT 0-1 Falkenbergs FF Falkenbergs FF İSÇ2
06.06.2021 Falkenbergs FF Falkenbergs FF 2-1 HT 1-1 Vasteras SK FK Vasteras SK FK İSÇ2
14.08.2011 Vasteras SK FK Vasteras SK FK 1-2 HT 1-1 Falkenbergs FF Falkenbergs FF İSÇ2
01.05.2011 Falkenbergs FF Falkenbergs FF 3-4 HT 2-1 Vasteras SK FK Vasteras SK FK İSÇ2
06.06.2005 Falkenbergs FF Falkenbergs FF 1-1 HT 0-0 Vasteras SK FK Vasteras SK FK İSÇ2
21.08.2004 Falkenbergs FF Falkenbergs FF 0-0 HT 0-0 Vasteras SK FK Vasteras SK FK İSÇ2

Vasteras SK FK 1-0 Falkenbergs FF — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vasteras SK FK
1-0
AWAY Falkenbergs FF
44% Ball Possession 56%
5 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 10
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Vasteras SK FK vs Falkenbergs FF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vasteras SK FK nicked a narrow win over Falkenbergs FF 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Vasteras SK FK as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Vasteras SK FK had 44% of the ball to Falkenbergs FF's 56%, shots finished 5-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Falkenbergs FF led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Vasteras SK FK and 1.83 for Falkenbergs FF.

What was the final score of Vasteras SK FK vs Falkenbergs FF?

Vasteras SK FK 1-0 Falkenbergs FF in the Sweden - Superettan on 14/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vasteras SK FK vs Falkenbergs FF?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vasteras SK FK win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Vasteras SK FK 53%, draw 24%, Falkenbergs FF 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vasteras SK FK), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Vasteras SK FK) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →