St. Louis City vs Columbus Crew Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
St. Louis City v Columbus Crew — Team-Based Signals
St. Louis City 1-2 Columbus Crew — Actual Match Statistics
Columbus Crew squeezed past St. Louis City 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (36% / 25% / 39%) promised a tight game; Columbus Crew found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, St. Louis City had 32% of the ball to Columbus Crew's 68%, shots finished 11-13, expected goals 2.06 to 1.98.
What was the final score of St. Louis City vs Columbus Crew?
St. Louis City 1-2 Columbus Crew in the USA - Major League on 14/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for St. Louis City vs Columbus Crew?
Before kick-off our model rated an Columbus Crew win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split St. Louis City 36%, draw 25%, Columbus Crew 39%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Columbus Crew), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.