Botafogo SP 1-1 Atletico Goianiense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 14 Apr 2025

Botafogo SP
1-1 HT 1-0
Atletico Goianiense
📅14/04/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✓
Brazil - Serie B – 2025

Botafogo SP vs Atletico Goianiense Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.46
Draw
30%
2.88
Away
36%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
60%
1.48
Over
40%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.13
No
58%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1
35%
2.08
2-3
41%
1.78
4-5
16%
5.58
6+
8%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
16%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 60% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
37%
-3.1pp
30%
Draw
32%
-1.8pp
36%
Away Win
31%
+5.0pp
60%
Under 2.5
64%
-3.6pp
40%
Over 2.5
36%
+3.6pp
42%
BTTS Yes
43%
-1.0pp
58%
BTTS No
57%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Botafogo SP v Atletico Goianiense — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Botafogo SP EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Goianiense EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -1%
0.90/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.18
-13% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -5%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
298 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 74%
16.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.9
20.8 Crosses 19.1
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.3

Botafogo SP vs Atletico Goianiense Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Botafogo SP
2W-2D-0L
AWAY Atletico Goianiense
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.80 xG 0.81
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
242 Passes 415
72% Pass Accuracy 83%
14 Box Touches 15
19 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
16.09.2023 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP 1-0 HT 1-0 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense BR2
28.05.2023 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense 1-1 HT 0-0 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP BR2
18.10.2019 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP 0-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense BR2
24.07.2019 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense 1-2 HT 1-0 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP BR2

Botafogo SP 1-1 Atletico Goianiense — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Botafogo SP
1-1
AWAY Atletico Goianiense
1.64 xG 0.95
36% Ball Possession 64%
12 Total Shots 18
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
155 Passes 349
67% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Box Touches 21
18 Crosses 24
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Botafogo SP vs Atletico Goianiense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Botafogo SP and Atletico Goianiense shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (34% / 30% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

On the day, Botafogo SP had 36% of the ball to Atletico Goianiense's 64%, shots finished 12-18, expected goals 1.64 to 0.95.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Botafogo SP had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Botafogo SP and 0.50 for Atletico Goianiense.

What was the final score of Botafogo SP vs Atletico Goianiense?

Botafogo SP 1-1 Atletico Goianiense in the Brazil - Serie B on 14/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Botafogo SP vs Atletico Goianiense?

Before kick-off our model rated an Atletico Goianiense win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Botafogo SP 34%, draw 30%, Atletico Goianiense 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Atletico Goianiense), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atletico Goianiense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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