Kongsvinger II 4-1 Lilleström II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 14 Apr 2025

📅14/04/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.38
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
34%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
3.17
Over 2.5
65%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
69%
1.32
No
31%
3.08
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
14%
7.89
2-3 Goals
37%
2.31
4-5 Goals
31%
2.31
6+ Goals
18%
3.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
8%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
38%
+0.7pp
27%
Draw
23%
+4.0pp
34%
Away Win
39%
-4.9pp
35%
Under 2.5
28%
+7.3pp
65%
Over 2.5
72%
-7.3pp
69%
BTTS Yes
72%
-2.6pp
31%
BTTS No
28%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kongsvinger II EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Lilleström II EU Bookmakers 43%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
2.43/1.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/2.50
+20% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -26%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
416 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 210 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.7
POST-MATCH Kongsvinger II vs Lilleström II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kongsvinger II cruised past Lilleström II 4-1. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 27% / 34% — and on the day Kongsvinger II made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (69%) came in.

What was the final score of Kongsvinger II vs Lilleström II?

Kongsvinger II 4-1 Lilleström II in the Norway - 3rd Division on 14/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kongsvinger II vs Lilleström II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kongsvinger II win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Kongsvinger II 39%, draw 27%, Lilleström II 34%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kongsvinger II), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kongsvinger II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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14 Apr 2025
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