Zeleznicar Pancevo 3-1 Jedinstvo Ub — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 14 Apr 2025

📅14/04/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
59%
1.61
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
19%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under
55%
1.82
Over
45%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.95
No
56%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1
33%
2-3
34%
4-5
21%
6+
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Zeleznicar Pancevo win — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
58%
+0.5pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.5pp
20%
Away Win
18%
+2.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
51%
+4.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
49%
-4.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.4pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zeleznicar Pancevo EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Jedinstvo Ub EU Bookmakers 21%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
2.47/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/2.05
+81% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -8%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
323 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 75%
25.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.8
19.1 Crosses 13.4
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zeleznicar Pancevo
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Jedinstvo Ub
3.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.84 xG 0.51
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 2
311 Passes 284
79% Pass Accuracy 77%
16 Box Touches 10
17 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 4
14.12.2024 Zeleznicar Pancevo Zeleznicar Pancevo 6-0 HT 2-0 Jedinstvo Ub Jedinstvo Ub SIRP
11.08.2024 Jedinstvo Ub Jedinstvo Ub 0-1 HT 0-1 Zeleznicar Pancevo Zeleznicar Pancevo SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zeleznicar Pancevo
3-1
AWAY Jedinstvo Ub
2.42 xG 0.98
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 9
10 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 5
336 Passes 249
81% Pass Accuracy 74%
21 Box Touches 26
7 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Zeleznicar Pancevo vs Jedinstvo Ub
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zeleznicar Pancevo got the better of Jedinstvo Ub 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Zeleznicar Pancevo as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Zeleznicar Pancevo had 54% of the ball to Jedinstvo Ub's 46%, shots finished 15-9, expected goals 2.42 to 0.98.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Zeleznicar Pancevo had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.50 goals for Zeleznicar Pancevo and 0.00 for Jedinstvo Ub.

What was the final score of Zeleznicar Pancevo vs Jedinstvo Ub?

Zeleznicar Pancevo 3-1 Jedinstvo Ub in the Serbia - Super League on 14/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zeleznicar Pancevo vs Jedinstvo Ub?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zeleznicar Pancevo win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Zeleznicar Pancevo 59%, draw 22%, Jedinstvo Ub 20%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zeleznicar Pancevo) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zeleznicar Pancevo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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