Inhulets 1-2 Karpaty Lviv — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 14 Apr 2025

📅14/04/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
4.48
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
44%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
67%
1.6
Over
33%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.19
No
63%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1
40%
2-3
35%
4-5
16%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
28%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 67%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 Away Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
19%
+7.9pp
29%
Draw
25%
+3.7pp
44%
Away Win
55%
-11.5pp
67%
Under 2.5
59%
+8.4pp
33%
Over 2.5
41%
-8.4pp
37%
BTTS Yes
42%
-4.3pp
63%
BTTS No
58%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Inhulets EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Karpaty Lviv EU Bookmakers 59%
+2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -24% / -24%
0.47/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.00
-52% / +56% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% /
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
252 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 413 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Inhulets
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Karpaty Lviv
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
04.10.2024 Karpaty Lviv Karpaty Lviv 0-0 HT 0-0 Inhulets Inhulets UKR
07.04.2019 Inhulets Inhulets 1-1 HT 0-0 Karpaty Lviv Karpaty Lviv UKRK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Inhulets
1-2
AWAY Karpaty Lviv
7 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Inhulets vs Karpaty Lviv
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Karpaty Lviv edged past Inhulets 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Karpaty Lviv as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, shots finished 7-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Inhulets and 0.50 for Karpaty Lviv.

What was the final score of Inhulets vs Karpaty Lviv?

Inhulets 1-2 Karpaty Lviv in the Ukraine - Premier League on 14/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Inhulets vs Karpaty Lviv?

Before kick-off our model rated an Karpaty Lviv win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Inhulets 27%, draw 29%, Karpaty Lviv 44%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Karpaty Lviv) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Karpaty Lviv) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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