Racing Club Montevideo 1-1 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 14 Apr 2025

📅14/04/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.84
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
38%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.56
Over 2.5
32%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
1.99
No
64%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
4%
1/X
11%
X/1
17%
X/2
18%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
32%
+2.7pp
28%
Draw
30%
-2.2pp
37%
Away Win
38%
-0.6pp
68%
Under 2.5
60%
+8.3pp
32%
Over 2.5
40%
-8.3pp
36%
BTTS Yes
46%
-10.0pp
64%
BTTS No
54%
+10.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Racing Club Montevideo EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Liverpool FC (Montevideo) EU Bookmakers 42%
-3% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -2%
1.17/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.08
+6% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -4%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
258 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Racing Club Montevideo
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Liverpool FC (Montevideo)
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
17.08.2024 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 1-1 HT 1-1 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo URU
18.02.2024 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo 2-2 HT 1-0 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) URU
19.11.2023 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 2-3 HT 1-0 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo URU
02.06.2023 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 3-2 HT 0-0 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo URU
15.04.2023 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo 1-1 HT 0-1 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) URU
07.11.2019 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo 0-2 HT 0-0 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Racing Club Montevideo
1-1
AWAY Liverpool FC (Montevideo)
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Racing Club Montevideo vs Liverpool FC (Montevideo)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Racing Club Montevideo and Liverpool FC (Montevideo) couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 28% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (68%) landed while no to both teams scoring (64%) missed.

On the day, Racing Club Montevideo had 44% of the ball to Liverpool FC (Montevideo)'s 56%, shots finished 10-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Liverpool FC (Montevideo) led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Racing Club Montevideo and 1.83 for Liverpool FC (Montevideo).

What was the final score of Racing Club Montevideo vs Liverpool FC (Montevideo)?

Racing Club Montevideo 1-1 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) in the Uruguay - Premier League on 14/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Racing Club Montevideo vs Liverpool FC (Montevideo)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Liverpool FC (Montevideo) win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Racing Club Montevideo 34%, draw 28%, Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Liverpool FC (Montevideo)), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Liverpool FC (Montevideo)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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14 Apr 2025
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