Sama Al Sarhan 2-3 Al Ahli — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Jordan - Premier League, 14 Apr 2026

📅14/04/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
16%
4.13
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
58%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.71
Over 2.5
48%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.96
No
48%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
3%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
20%
X/X
13%
2/1
3%
2/2
30%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
16%
Home Win
21%
-4.9pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.5pp
58%
Away Win
54%
+4.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
55%
-2.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
45%
+2.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
47%
+5.4pp
48%
BTTS No
53%
-5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sama Al Sarhan EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ahli EU Bookmakers 57%
-30% / -30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
0.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.00
-100% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% /
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
282 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 388 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sama Al Sarhan
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Al Ahli
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 4
30.01.2026 Al Ahli Al Ahli 0-4 HT 0-2 Sama Al Sarhan Sama Al Sarhan ÜRD
14.08.2025 Sama Al Sarhan Sama Al Sarhan 0-1 HT 0-1 Al Ahli Al Ahli ÜRD
POST-MATCH Sama Al Sarhan vs Al Ahli
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ahli nicked a narrow win over Sama Al Sarhan 3-2 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Al Ahli as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Sama Al Sarhan and 0.50 for Al Ahli.

What was the final score of Sama Al Sarhan vs Al Ahli?

Sama Al Sarhan 2-3 Al Ahli in the Jordan - Premier League on 14/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sama Al Sarhan vs Al Ahli?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Ahli win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Sama Al Sarhan 16%, draw 26%, Al Ahli 58%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ahli), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Ahli) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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