Kanada (K) 3-1 Güney Kore (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 14 Apr 2026

📅14/04/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
78%
1.22
Draw
14%
5.71
Away
8%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.29
Over 2.5
53%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.16
No
52%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
2%
1/X
2%
X/1
34%
X/2
2%
X/X
4%
2/1
9%
2/2
4%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
77%
Home Win
77%
+0.2pp
14%
Draw
14%
-0.0pp
8%
Away Win
8%
-0.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
40%
+7.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
60%
-7.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
42%
+6.3pp
52%
BTTS No
58%
-6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kanada (K) EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Güney Kore (K) EU Bookmakers 11%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
2.19/0.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.58/2.28
+17% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -69% / -41%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
456 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 241 · 72%
34.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 8.9
22.2 Crosses 10.8
0.7 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kanada (K)
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Güney Kore (K)
5.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.52 xG 0.19
59% Ball Possession 41%
22 Total Shots 4
9 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 1
426 Passes 254
87% Pass Accuracy 73%
38 Box Touches 7
18 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 0
03.12.2024 Kanada (K) Kanada (K) 5-1 HT 1-0 Güney Kore (K) Güney Kore (K) HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kanada (K)
3-1
AWAY Güney Kore (K)
2.31 xG 0.63
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 2
381 Passes 345
83% Pass Accuracy 83%
23 Box Touches 16
10 Crosses 19
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kanada (K) vs Güney Kore (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kanada (K) beat Güney Kore (K) 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Kanada (K) as the likeliest winner at 77%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Kanada (K) had 52% of the ball to Güney Kore (K)'s 48%, shots finished 10-7, expected goals 2.31 to 0.63.

What was the final score of Kanada (K) vs Güney Kore (K)?

Kanada (K) 3-1 Güney Kore (K) in the Friendlies on 14/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kanada (K) vs Güney Kore (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kanada (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 77%, with the full match-result split Kanada (K) 77%, draw 14%, Güney Kore (K) 8%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kanada (K)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kanada (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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