İzlanda (K) vs Ukrayna (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
İzlanda (K) v Ukrayna (K) — Team-Based Signals
İzlanda (K) 1-0 Ukrayna (K) — Actual Match Statistics
İzlanda (K) squeezed past Ukrayna (K) 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had İzlanda (K) as the likeliest winner at 69%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, İzlanda (K) had 64% of the ball to Ukrayna (K)'s 36%, shots finished 26-6, expected goals 3.63 to 0.79 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold İzlanda (K)'s control.
What was the final score of İzlanda (K) vs Ukrayna (K)?
İzlanda (K) 1-0 Ukrayna (K) in the Women's World Cup on 14/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for İzlanda (K) vs Ukrayna (K)?
Before kick-off our model rated a İzlanda (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split İzlanda (K) 69%, draw 18%, Ukrayna (K) 13%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (İzlanda (K)) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.