Örebro 2-1 Degerfors — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 14 May 2024

Örebro
2-1 HT 0-0
Degerfors
📅14/05/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✓
Sweden - Superettan – 2024

Örebro vs Degerfors Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.8
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
34%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
1.86
Over
52%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
54%
1.7
No
46%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1
27%
3.29
2-3
41%
1.78
4-5
21%
3.58
6+
11%
14.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.34
1/2
7%
27.0
1/X
5%
13.2
X/1
15%
6.17
X/2
12%
5.02
X/X
12%
4.56
2/1 ✗
7%
32.0
2/2
16%
3.24
2/X
9%
13.0
Value flag · 2/1 at 32.0 — our 7% vs market 1.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 54% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
40%
Home Win
32%
+7.5pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.9pp
34%
Away Win
41%
-6.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
50%
-1.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
50%
+1.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
55%
-1.0pp
46%
BTTS No
45%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Örebro v Degerfors — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Örebro The Market 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Degerfors The Market 45%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +12%
1.54/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/0.97
+9% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +42%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
380 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.5 Yellow Cards 4.0

Örebro vs Degerfors Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Örebro
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Degerfors
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
2.26 xG 2.01
45% Ball Possession 55%
16 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
312 Passes 498
79% Pass Accuracy 84%
30 Box Touches 28
22 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
25.10.2021 Örebro Örebro 1-2 HT 0-2 Degerfors Degerfors İSÇ
18.05.2021 Degerfors Degerfors 3-0 HT 2-0 Örebro Örebro İSÇ
11.02.2018 Örebro Örebro 1-0 HT 1-0 Degerfors Degerfors HAZ
01.09.2013 Degerfors Degerfors 1-1 HT 1-0 Örebro Örebro İSÇ2
13.05.2013 Örebro Örebro 2-0 HT 0-0 Degerfors Degerfors İSÇ2
23.08.2006 Örebro Örebro 2-1 HT 2-1 Degerfors Degerfors İSÇ2

Örebro 2-1 Degerfors — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Örebro
2-1
AWAY Degerfors
54% Ball Possession 46%
6 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 8
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Örebro vs Degerfors
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Örebro nicked a narrow win over Degerfors 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 26% / 34%) promised a tight game; Örebro found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Örebro had 54% of the ball to Degerfors's 46%, shots finished 6-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Örebro had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Örebro and 1.17 for Degerfors.

What was the final score of Örebro vs Degerfors?

Örebro 2-1 Degerfors in the Sweden - Superettan on 14/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Örebro vs Degerfors?

Before kick-off our model rated a Örebro win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Örebro 40%, draw 26%, Degerfors 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Örebro), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Örebro) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →