Vasalund IF 0-1 AFC Eskilstuna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 14 May 2024

📅14/05/2024 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.64
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
35%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.07
Over 2.5
50%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.73
No
54%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
13%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
57%
-12.5pp
21%
Draw
24%
-2.8pp
35%
Away Win
20%
+15.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
54%
-7.9pp
54%
BTTS No
46%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vasalund IF EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Eskilstuna EU Bookmakers 23%
-3% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -38% / -38%
1.90/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.49
-5% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -27%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
375 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vasalund IF
3W-1D-2L
AWAY AFC Eskilstuna
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.09.2021 AFC Eskilstuna AFC Eskilstuna 1-2 HT 1-0 Vasalund IF Vasalund IF İSÇ2
31.07.2021 Vasalund IF Vasalund IF 4-2 HT 1-1 AFC Eskilstuna AFC Eskilstuna İSÇ2
23.08.2017 Vasalund IF Vasalund IF 1-1 HT 0-1 AFC Eskilstuna AFC Eskilstuna İSÇK
31.08.2014 Vasalund IF Vasalund IF 0-1 HT 0-0 AFC Eskilstuna AFC Eskilstuna İSÇ3
31.07.2009 AFC Eskilstuna AFC Eskilstuna 5-2 HT 4-1 Vasalund IF Vasalund IF İSÇ2
13.04.2009 Vasalund IF Vasalund IF 2-0 HT 1-0 AFC Eskilstuna AFC Eskilstuna İSÇ2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vasalund IF
0-1
AWAY AFC Eskilstuna
59% Ball Possession 41%
3 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Vasalund IF vs AFC Eskilstuna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Eskilstuna nicked a narrow win over Vasalund IF 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Vasalund IF at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Vasalund IF had 59% of the ball to AFC Eskilstuna's 41%, shots finished 3-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vasalund IF had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Vasalund IF and 1.67 for AFC Eskilstuna.

What was the final score of Vasalund IF vs AFC Eskilstuna?

Vasalund IF 0-1 AFC Eskilstuna in the Sweden - 1st Division on 14/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vasalund IF vs AFC Eskilstuna?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vasalund IF win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Vasalund IF 44%, draw 21%, AFC Eskilstuna 35%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Vasalund IF) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vasalund IF) ✓ BTTS No
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